Analysis of the potential scalability of electric shared bicycles in Kigali. A perspective from the commuters

Abstract

As cities This study analyzes how electric bike-sharing could be implemented in Kigali, Rwanda, as a long-term solution for improving urban mobility. With the city facing increasing challenges from urbanization and transportation demands, shared e-bikes offer a promising solution that is cost-effective, environmentally friendly, and promotes healthy commuting. A quantitative survey was administered to 463 randomly selected participants, and the results were analyzed using descriptive statistics, exploratory factor analysis and binary logistic regression. The findings show that people generally favor shared e-bikes, particularly due to their low cost, ability to handle Kigali's hilly terrain, and environmental benefits. However, adoption rates vary depending on personal and social factors such as age, gender, income, and travel distance. Young men from low- to middle-income families were more likely to use ebikes, whereas women showed less interest, owing to safety concerns and cultural expectations. Four major themes influenced Commuter perceptions: efficiency and sustainability, cost and convenience of use, environmental image and safety, and low maintenance with health advantages. To ensure successful adoption, the study recommends improving infrastructure, renting an affordable e-bike, and implementing gender-sensitive policies. These approaches could make e-bike sharing a more equitable and scalable transportation option in Kigali. The findings also provide useful recommendations for urban mobility planning in similar developing city contexts.