Prediction of teenage pregnancy in Rwanda

Abstract

This thesis endeavors to forecast teenage pregnancy in Rwanda, acknowledging its critical impact on the social and public health landscape for young individuals. Despite ongoing efforts to curb teenage pregnancy rates, the issue persists in Rwanda. In order to make accurate projections regarding teenage pregnancy, the purpose of this study is focused to undertake a secondary data analysis on the outcomes of a previous study. the Demographic Health Surveys that were carried out in Rwanda between the years 2014-2015 and 2019-2020 to Predict teenage pregnancy in Rwanda. In addition, logistic regression and K nearest Neighbor to predict factors associated with socio-demographic and teenage pregnancy characteristics. According to the study's findings, teenage mothers encounter significant challenges in terms of their opportunities and prospects for the future. Specifically, the research revealed that 63% of these young mothers were still enrolled as students at the time of their pregnancy, while only 5% managed to continue their education afterward. Based on the study's findings, adolescent mothers encounter a substantial challenge concerning their ability to analyze situations and the predictability of their future outcomes. The study revealed that 63% of these young mothers were still pursuing their education when they got pregnant, while only 5% managed to continue their studies. Employing logistic regression and K nearest Neighbor, the research identifies factors associated with teenage pregnancy, including socio-demographic elements. Non parametric chi-square tests reveal a significant correlation between independent variables and teenage pregnancy occurrence, particularly in the Province, Age of teen, and Education of the teen. The prevalence of teenage pregnancies stands at 6.2%, influenced by age and sexual activity. Notably, the study underscores the need for targeted interventions and programs to address teenage pregnancy in Rwanda. By comprehending these factors, policymakers, the government, and non-governmental organizations can formulate more effective prevention strategies and support systems, aiming to reduce the prevalence of teenage pregnancies among young individuals in Rwanda